Ever since players learned that there was a real method of beating the casino blackjack tables based on "tracking" the shuffles, the "nonrandom shuffle" gurus started making the rounds with systems that seemed to be based on related theories. Every few years for the past two decades, some self-proclaimed genius starts hustling a blackjack system based on the fact that casino shuffles do not distribute the cards randomly. For a few hundred bucks, one of these brilliant system developers will sell you the inside scoop on how to play blackjack by following the "trends," "clumps," and "biases."
Many variations have hit the scene, but the theory and playing methodology never really change much. Here's how Swami Nonrandomi's logic goes:
First, it's necessary to acknowledge that casino-style shuffles are less than perfect, and that the cards are not randomly distributed by these shuffles. No problem, since anyone who has played any length of time at casino blackjack tables can see that sloppy shuffles are easy to find. When new decks are brought in, it's not unusual to see occasional cards being dealt in consecutive new-deck order. So we know the shuffles are imperfect.
Next, you must accept the fact that these nonrandom shuffles affect the decisions on the hands dealt. No problem again. If you happen to see a dealer hit his fourteen with a six of spades, right after you doubled down on your eleven against his four up—and you caught the spade five—then you will be a believer. Yes! Yes! Those nonrandom clumps are killing me!
Now, what if you had a system designed to play those clumpy games? A system that made rational assumptions about hitting and standing based on the severity of the clumps? Yes! Yes!
Finally, a blackjack system that takes into account the kinds of weird stuff we actually see in the casinos. It's not a system based on some mathematician's analysis of some computer programmer's simulated billion hands of play. This is a reality-based system, and that's the only kind of system that works in the real world.
Card counters are out there talking about advantages of 1%, and they don't even realize that the casinos sometimes have a 10% advantage over them, based on the nonrandom shuffles. What's worse is that the same counters don't realize that they can get a 10% advantage over the casinos, courtesy of the same lousy shuffles.
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